Glossary TermApril 20, 2024

TradingVolume

The heartbeat of the market — how much is actually being bought and sold. Like counting how many people walked into a store.

TradingMarket AnalysisMetricsGlossary

Definition

The heartbeat of the market — how much is actually being bought and sold. Like counting how many people walked into a store.

What Is Trading Volume?

Here is the thing: Trading volume is the total amount of cryptocurrency bought and sold in a given time period. It is like a popularity meter — the higher the volume, the more action is happening.

Think of it this way: Price tells you what people are willing to pay, but volume tells you how many people are actually trading. Price without volume is like knowing a restaurant's prices but not knowing if anyone is actually eating there.

In simple terms: Trading volume measures how much real money is flowing into and out of a cryptocurrency. High volume = lots of interested traders. Low volume = nobody cares.

Why Volume Is Critical

Volume Confirms Price Movements

The golden rule: Volume should confirm the price. If it does not, something is wrong.

Healthy trend (volume agrees with price):

  • Price rising + volume rising = Strong uptrend
  • Price falling + volume rising = Strong downtrend
  • Real money is moving the market

Unhealthy trend (volume contradicts price):

  • Price rising + volume falling = Weak move, likely fake
  • Price falling + volume falling = Weak selling, could bounce

Pro tip: If the price makes a new high but volume is lower than at the previous high, that is a "divergence" — a warning sign that the trend could end.

Volume Shows Market Interest

High volume means:

  • Many traders are watching this coin
  • Large players (institutions, whales) are involved
  • News or events are driving action
  • Liquidity is good — you can easily enter and exit

Low volume means:

  • Nobody cares about this coin
  • Probably just retail traders trading among themselves
  • Harder to enter and exit without moving the price
  • Price movement could be fake or manipulated

Real-world example:

  • Bitcoin: $30 billion daily volume = deep, liquid market
  • Small altcoin: $50,000 daily volume = shallow, risky market

Pro tip: Always check volume before trading. You might get into a trade, but can you get out?

Types of Volume

1. Spot Volume

What it is: Actual buying and selling of cryptocurrency on spot markets

Example:

  • You buy 1 BTC on Coinbase
  • That is 1 BTC added to spot volume

Significance: Shows real trading, not speculation

2. Derivatives Volume

What it is: Trading volume from futures, options, and perpetual swaps

Example:

  • You open a $100,000 Bitcoin futures position
  • That gets added to derivatives volume (NOT to spot volume)

Significance: Shows speculative interest, often much larger than spot volume

Pro tip: When derivatives volume >> spot volume, the market is dominated by speculators, not genuine buyers/sellers.

3. On-Chain Volume

What it is: Actual tokens being moved between wallets on the blockchain

Example:

  • You send 10 BTC from your wallet to an exchange
  • That is 10 BTC on-chain volume

Significance: Shows real use and movement, not just exchange trading

How to Read Volume

Volume Bars Explained

On your chart:

  • Volume bars are usually at the bottom
  • Green bars = price closed higher than it opened
  • Red bars = price closed lower than it opened
  • Taller bars = more volume in that period

Example:

Price chart shows:
Day 1: Large green candle + Tall volume bar = Strong buying
Day 2: Small red candle + Low volume bar = Weak selling
Day 3: Large green candle + Tiny volume bar = Fake move (no conviction)

Pro tip: Volume should increase on breakout moves. If the price breaks resistance with tiny volume, it is likely a fake-out.

Important Volume Patterns

Pattern 1: Volume Spike

What it looks like:

  • Sudden massive volume bar
  • 5-10x normal volume
  • Usually around news or major events

What it means:

  • Something big is happening
  • Whales or institutions are moving
  • Could be start of a new trend OR blow-off top

Trading implication: Wait for the dust to settle before entering

Pattern 2: Volume Decline

What it looks like:

  • Volume bars getting progressively smaller
  • Price might be moving, but nobody cares

What it means:

  • The trend is running out of steam
  • Interest is fading
  • Reversal is likely coming

Trading implication: Do not chase trends with falling volume

Pattern 3: Volume Expansion

What it looks like:

  • Volume bars getting progressively larger
  • More and more traders joining the move

What it means:

  • Trend is gaining strength
  • More traders are taking notice
  • Momentum is building

Trading implication: This is where you want to be in trades

Real Trading Examples

Example 1: The Volume Confirmation

Scenario:

  • Bitcoin breaks above resistance at $30,000
  • Volume is 2x the daily average
  • Price holds above $30,000

Analysis:

  • Real breakout (volume confirms)
  • Strong buying pressure
  • Likely to continue higher

Trade action: Buy the breakout with confidence

Comparison:

  • Bitcoin breaks above resistance at $30,000
  • Volume is 0.5x daily average (very low)
  • Price falls back below $30,000 the next day

Analysis: Fake breakout (volume does not confirm)

Example 2: The Volume Divergence

Scenario:

  • Bitcoin makes a new high at $35,000
  • Volume is lower than at the previous high ($32,000)
  • Price starts to struggle

Analysis:

  • Buyers are exhausted
  • Fewer people interested at higher prices
  • Warning signal for a potential top

Trade action: Take profits, tighten stops, do not buy the breakout

Example 3: The Volume Pump

Scenario:

  • Small altcoin suddenly does 100x normal volume
  • Price shoots up 50%
  • No actual news or developments

Analysis:

  • Likely P&D (pump and dump)
  • Whales pumping the price to dump on retail
  • Volume will suddenly dry up

Trade action: No FOMO. If you are already in, take profits immediately

Pro tip: When a coin with $100,000 daily volume suddenly does $10 million, that is not organic. That is manipulation.

Volume Strategies

Strategy 1: Volume Breakouts

Setup:

  • Price consolidates in a range
  • Volume decreases during consolidation
  • Price breaks out with a volume increase

Entry: Buy when volume spikes on the breakout

Stop loss: Below the breakout level

Take profit: Next resistance level

Pro tip: The bigger the volume spike on breakout, the more reliable the move.

Strategy 2: Volume Climax

Setup:

  • Extended trend (up or down)
  • Massive volume spike
  • Price stalls or reverses

What happens:

  • Last panicked buying or selling
  • Everyone who wanted to trade has traded
  • Exhaustion point

Trade action: Take profits, look for reversal

Strategy 3: Volume Trend Confirmation

Setup:

  • Price trending up
  • Volume rising as price rises
  • Healthy trend

Trade action: Stay in long positions, use trailing stops

Warning signal: Price makes new high but volume falls

Trade action: Tighten stops, prepare to exit

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Mistake 1: Ignoring Volume

Wrong: Trading based only on price patterns

Result: You will constantly get tricked

Right: Always check volume to confirm price moves

Mistake 2: Chasing Low-Volume Moves

Wrong: Buying breakouts with tiny volume

Result: Fake-outs, stopped out

Right: Wait for volume confirmation before entry

Mistake 3: Overtrading Low-Volume Coins

Wrong: Trading altcoins with $50,000 daily volume

Problem:

  • Hard to enter/exit
  • Easy to get stuck
  • Price manipulation is easy

Right: Trade coins with at least $1M+ daily volume (preferably much more)

Mistake 4: Ignoring Volume Divergence

Wrong: Not noticing when price rises but volume falls

Result: You buy the top, trend reverses, you get punished

Right: Watch for divergences — they are early warning signs

Pro Tips from Experienced Traders

  1. Volume precedes price — Large volume movements often signal important trend changes
  2. Compare to average — Is current volume above or below the 30-day average?
  3. Watch for volume spikes — These signal important market events
  4. Volume > price patterns — Volume is more reliable than most technical indicators
  5. Watch volume at key levels — High-volume breakouts are real, low-volume ones are fake
  6. Falling volume = weakening trend — Regardless of what price is doing
  7. Check volume across exchanges — Is volume high on one exchange but low on others? Something is off.

Key Takeaways

  1. Volume confirms price — Price movement without volume is suspicious
  2. High volume = real interest — low volume = nobody cares
  3. Volume precedes price — large volume moves often signal reversals
  4. Watch for divergences — price up/volume down = warning sign
  5. Volume spikes matter — they signal important events or reversals
  6. Check average volume — compare current volume to the norm
  7. Trade liquid markets — avoid low-volume coins
  8. Volume is the truth — price can lie, volume cannot

Conclusion: Volume is the fuel that moves markets. Price tells you where a cryptocurrency is going, but volume tells you whether the move is real or fake. Ignore volume at your own risk. The best traders always check volume before making decisions — it is the difference between trading with the herd and being run over by it.

Ready to Start Trading?

Join The Kingfisher community and get access to professional-grade trading tools and insights.