Glossary TermApril 20, 2024

Trading Volume

The heartbeat of the market - how much is actually being bought and sold. Like counting how many people walked into a store.

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Definition

The heartbeat of the market - how much is actually being bought and sold. Like counting how many people walked into a store.

What is Trading Volume?

Here's the deal: trading volume is the total amount of cryptocurrency that's been bought and sold during a specific time period. It's like a popularity meter - the higher the volume, the more action is happening.

Think of it this way: price tells you what people are willing to pay, but volume tells you how many people are actually trading. Price without volume is like knowing a restaurant's prices but not knowing if anyone is eating there.

In plain English: Trading volume measures how much real money is moving in and out of a cryptocurrency. High volume = lots of traders interested. Low volume = nobody cares.

Why Volume is Critical

Volume Confirms Price Moves

The golden rule: Volume should confirm price. If it doesn't, something's wrong.

Healthy trend (volume agrees with price):

  • Price goes up + Volume goes up = Strong uptrend
  • Price goes down + Volume goes up = Strong downtrend
  • This is real money moving the market

Unhealthy trend (volume disagrees with price):

  • Price goes up + Volume goes down = Weak move, likely fake
  • Price goes down + Volume goes down = Weak selling, might bounce

Pro tip: If price makes a new high but volume is lower than the previous high, that's a "divergence" - warning sign the trend might be ending.

Volume Shows Market Interest

High volume means:

  • Lots of traders are watching this coin
  • Big players (institutions, whales) are involved
  • News or events are driving action
  • Liquidity is good - you can enter/exit easily

Low volume means:

  • Nobody cares about this coin
  • Probably just retail traders trading amongst themselves
  • Harder to enter/exit without moving price
  • Price action might be fake or manipulated

Real example:

  • Bitcoin: $30 billion daily volume = deep, liquid market
  • Small altcoin: $50,000 daily volume = shallow, risky market

Pro tip: Always check volume before trading. You might be able to get into a trade, but can you get out?

Types of Volume

1. Spot Volume

What it is: Actual buying and selling of cryptocurrency on spot markets

Example:

  • You buy 1 BTC on Coinbase
  • That's 1 BTC added to spot volume

Significance: Shows real trading, not speculation

2. Derivatives Volume

What it is: Trading volume from futures, options, and perpetual swaps

Example:

  • You open a $100,000 Bitcoin futures position
  • That's added to derivatives volume (but NOT spot volume)

Significance: Shows speculative interest, often much larger than spot volume

Pro tip: When derivatives volume >> spot volume, the market is dominated by speculators, not real buyers/sellers.

3. On-Chain Volume

What it is: Actual tokens moving between wallets on the blockchain

Example:

  • You send 10 BTC from your wallet to an exchange
  • That's 10 BTC of on-chain volume

Significance: Shows real utility and movement, not just exchange trading

How to Read Volume

Volume Bars Explained

On your chart:

  • Volume bars are usually at the bottom
  • Green bars = price closed higher than it opened
  • Red bars = price closed lower than it opened
  • Taller bars = more volume that period

Example:

Price chart shows:
Day 1: Big green candle + Tall volume bar = Strong buying
Day 2: Small red candle + Short volume bar = Weak selling
Day 3: Big green candle + Tiny volume bar = Fake move (no conviction)

Pro tip: Volume should spike on breakout moves. If price breaks resistance with tiny volume, it's probably a fake-out.

Volume Patterns to Know

Pattern 1: Volume Spike

What it looks like:

  • Sudden massive volume bar
  • 5-10x normal volume
  • Usually on news or major events

What it means:

  • Something big is happening
  • Whales or institutions are moving
  • Could be start of new trend OR blow-off top

Trading implication: Wait for the dust to settle before jumping in

Pattern 2: Volume Decline

What it looks like:

  • Volume bars getting progressively smaller
  • Price might be moving, but nobody cares

What it means:

  • Trend is running out of gas
  • Interest is fading
  • Reversal likely coming

Trading implication: Don't chase trends with declining volume

Pattern 3: Volume Expansion

What it looks like:

  • Volume bars getting progressively larger
  • More and more traders joining the move

What it means:

  • Trend is gaining strength
  • More traders are noticing
  • Momentum is building

Trading implication: This is where you want to be in trades

Real Trading Examples

Example 1: The Volume Confirmation

Scenario:

  • Bitcoin breaks above $30,000 resistance
  • Volume is 2x the daily average
  • Price holds above $30,000

Analysis:

  • Real breakout (volume confirms)
  • Strong buying pressure
  • Likely continue higher

Trading action: Buy the breakout with confidence

Contrast:

  • Bitcoin breaks above $30,000 resistance
  • Volume is 0.5x the daily average (very low)
  • Price falls back below $30,000 next day

Analysis: Fake breakout (volume doesn't confirm)

Example 2: The Volume Divergence

Scenario:

  • Bitcoin makes new high at $35,000
  • Volume is lower than at the previous high ($32,000)
  • Price starts struggling

Analysis:

  • Buyers are exhausted
  • Fewer people interested at higher prices
  • Warning sign of potential top

Trading action: Take profits, tighten stops, don't buy the breakout

Example 3: The Volume Pump

Scenario:

  • Small altcoin suddenly does 100x normal volume
  • Price rockets 50%
  • No actual news or developments

Analysis:

  • Likely P&D (pump and dump)
  • Whales pumping price to dump on retail
  • Volume will dry up suddenly

Trading action: Don't FOMO in. If you're already in, take profits immediately

Pro tip: If a coin with $100k daily volume suddenly does $10M, that's not organic. That's manipulation.

Volume Strategies

Strategy 1: Volume Breakouts

Setup:

  • Price consolidates in a range
  • Volume declines during consolidation
  • Price breaks out with volume spike

Entry: Buy when volume surges on breakout

Stop loss: Below the breakout level

Take profit: Next resistance level

Pro tip: The bigger the volume spike on breakout, the more reliable the move.

Strategy 2: Volume Climax

Setup:

  • Extended trend (up or down)
  • Massive volume spike
  • Price stalls or reverses

What's happening:

  • Final panic buying or selling
  • Everyone who wanted to trade has traded
  • Exhaustion point

Trading action: Take profits, look for reversal

Strategy 3: Volume Trend Confirmation

Setup:

  • Price is trending up
  • Volume is increasing as price rises
  • Healthy trend

Trading action: Stay in long positions, trail stops

Warning sign: Price makes new high but volume drops

Trading action: Tighten stops, prepare to exit

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Mistake 1: Ignoring Volume

Wrong: Trading based only on price patterns

Result: You get faked out constantly

Right: Always check volume to confirm price moves

Mistake 2: Chasing Low Volume Moves

Wrong: Buying breakouts with tiny volume

Result: Fake-outs, stopped out

Right: Wait for volume confirmation before entering

Mistake 3: Overtrading Low Volume Coins

Wrong: Trading altcoins with $50k daily volume

Problem:

  • Hard to enter/exit
  • Easy to get stuck
  • Price manipulation is easy

Right: Trade coins with at least $1M+ daily volume (preferably much more)

Mistake 4: Ignoring Volume Divergence

Wrong: Not noticing when price goes up but volume goes down

Result: You buy the top, trend reverses, you get wrecked

Right: Watch for divergences - they're early warning signs

Pro Tips from Experienced Traders

  1. Volume precedes price - Big volume moves often signal major trend changes
  2. Compare to average - Is current volume above or below the 30-day average?
  3. Look for volume spikes - These signal important market events
  4. Volume > price patterns - Volume is more reliable than most technical indicators
  5. Watch volume at key levels - Breakouts with high volume are real, low volume is fake
  6. Declining volume = weakening trend - No matter what price is doing
  7. Check volume across exchanges - Is volume high on one exchange but low on others? Something's off.

Key Takeaways

  1. Volume confirms price - price move without volume is suspicious
  2. High volume = real interest - low volume = nobody cares
  3. Volume precedes price - big volume moves often signal reversals
  4. Watch for divergences - price up/volume down = warning sign
  5. Volume spikes matter - they signal important events or reversals
  6. Check average volume - compare current volume to what's normal
  7. Trade liquid markets - avoid low volume coins
  8. Volume is truth - price can lie, volume doesn't

Bottom line: Volume is the fuel that moves markets. Price tells you where a cryptocurrency is going, but volume tells you if the move is real or fake. Ignore volume at your own peril. The best traders always check volume before making decisions - it's the difference between trading with the herd and getting trampled by it.

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